In the Money Media
Kentucky Derby 152 · Road to Churchill Downs
Daily to Derby
Your morning briefing on the road to the Kentucky Derby
Edition No. 15 · Friday, April 24, 2026
🇯🇵 International Contenders
What Speed Figure Did Danon Bourbon Run on the Beyer Scale?
On our latest Monster Pod, Alex Henry — ITM's Japanese racing specialist — broke down Danon Bourbon's Fukuryu Stakes performance using proprietary Netkeiba speed figure conversions. The number: a 97 on the Beyer-equivalent scale.
That's the fastest Fukuryu Stakes in the last 20 years, by over a full second — on a muddy track. For context: T O Password ran an 83-84 from the same race and finished fifth in the 2024 Derby. Luxor Cafe ran a 95. Danon Bourbon is meaningfully faster than both.
He has tactical speed, a Maxfield-over-Tapit pedigree that screams Churchill Downs, and a 3-for-3 record with a combined winning margin of 18½ lengths. He might get beat. But it won't be the distance that beats him.
👉 Watch the Danon Bourbon Monster Pod with Alex Henry
👉 Watch the Wonder Dean + Six Speed Monster Pod with Michael Adolphson
📣 Industry
The Trainers Want to Move the Preakness
Three top Derby trainers came out in favor of changing the Triple Crown schedule at yesterday's NTRA teleconference.
"I'm all for moving it. The health and the welfare of the horse comes first over tradition." — Brad Cox
Cox added: "You could run a horse back on quick rest and get a really good effort. The question is, what do you have after the quick turnaround?"
"I would predict it is gonna change, certainly before my career is over." — Chad Brown
"Tradition is tradition, but we live in a different world." — Mark Glatt
This comes days after CDI acquired the Preakness IP for $85 million. Now that one company owns two of the three legs, the schedule might actually be moveable for the first time.
🎰 Wagering
Preakness Future Wager Is Live
Opens today, closes Derby Day. Renegade is the 10-1 morning line favorite. Iron Honor 15-1. Commandment 15-1. Further Ado 12-1. Full video breakdown coming soon on the ITM YouTube channel.
👉 Full field and odds at preakness.com/futurewager
Tomorrow — Saturday, April 25
~2:15 PM ET
Kentucky Derby & Oaks Post Position Draw
Churchill Downs · Between Races 3 and 4 on Opening Day
Twenty horses, twenty gates. Full draw, morning line, and instant analysis across all ITM platforms.
👉 Watch our Churchill Opening Day preview
🏇 Barn Notes
Renegade Ships to Churchill Today
Easy half in :50.84 at Palm Beach Downs yesterday. Pure maintenance. Vans to Churchill today, arrives just before Saturday's deadline. Same approach Pletcher used with Super Saver.
📊 ITM Original
Pletcher's Derby Horses Either Show Up or They Don't
New figure data from Paul Matties: of Pletcher's 14 short-priced starters, the five who ran their number all finished in the top three. The other nine regressed by an average of more than 20 points. Almost no middle ground.
👉 Read the full article with 66-horse appendix
🎙️ New on ITM YouTube
Three New Monster Pods
👉 Danon Bourbon with Alex Henry — Netkeiba figure conversion + Maxfield pedigree angle
👉 Wonder Dean + Six Speed with Michael Adolphson — UAE Derby analysis
👉 KDBC Preview Show — $300K guaranteed purse, tournament strategy
📄 Free Content
Free Derby Contender Profiles — 14 Live
Renegade · Commandment · Further Ado · The Puma · Chief Wallabee · So Happy · Silent Tactic · Emerging Market · Fulleffort · Potente · Incredibolt · Albus · Pavlovian · Chip Honcho
🎧 Partner Content
PTF on the Equibase Inside Track
Ben Kudla and PTF sit down for a horse-by-horse GPS data analysis of the Derby field. Which contenders stand out by the stride numbers?
👉 Watch on the Equibase YouTube channel
📣 Derby Week Events
Wednesday, April 29 — FIVE DAYS
6:30–9:00 PM
Final Answers
The Manchester Hotel · Lexington, KY
$155. Open bar, buffet, Friday & Saturday PPs included. Get yours here.
Thursday, April 30
5:30 PM
Derby Inquiries with PTF and JK
The Galt House Lobby · Louisville, KY · Free
📋 ICYMI
👉 Yesterday's D2D: "Bet the Preakness Before the Derby"
👉 Is Todd Pletcher Actually Bad in the Kentucky Derby?
👉 Free Equibase PPs for every contender
Today's Open Question
Danon Bourbon converted to a 97 on the Beyer scale from the Fukuryu Stakes. T O Password ran an 83 from the same race and finished fifth in the 2024 Derby. Is this the year Japan finally gets it done?
Previous Editions
Edition 14 · Bet the Preakness Before the Derby
Edition 13 · One Company, Two Jewels
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